This should have been Chelsea’s season. They started (and ended) with an outstanding manager. They spent more than anyone else. They were not in transition but had countless players at their peak, in their late 20s (Essien, 25; J. Cole and Wright-Phillips, 26; Malouda and Terry, 27; Anelka and Lampard, 29; Drogba, 30; Ballack, 31). They only had two players under 25. Their team, assembled by Ranieri and Mourinho, were settled: seven players had played over 150 times for Chelsea, key players all through the spine of the team (Cech in goal; both centre backs, Carvalho and Terry; Lampard, J. Cole and Makele in the middle and Drogba up front). Experienced, settled, balanced and at the top of their game. Temperamentally pretty sound.
And, crucially, both their main rivals — United and Arsenal — were still in transition, bedding in new acquisitions (Hargreaves, Anderson, Tevez and Nani) or building a new, young team. United had won one league title without Van Nistelroy, but could they win a second without a big-name striker and with so many new, young players? Arsenal had been even more radical. In two years (2006-07) they had lost Bergkamp, Cole, Pires and Campbell, then Lauren and Henry. Could Wenger’s latest new team sustain a long run with so many new or newish players?
Think of 15th August 2004. Chelsea under their new manager, Mourinho, beat United at Stamford Bridge. The United team that day is unrecognisable. Only Scholes and Giggs, Silvestre and O’Shea played for United that day.
Yes, Chelsea lost their manager. They had the Africa Cup which deprived them of key players at a crucial moment and they had a number of major injuries. But this still should have been their season. The prospect for next year is not as good. They have no strikers worth a damn apart from Drogba (hence those ten 1-0 wins—they only scored more than two goals six times in this season’s Premiership). More important, they only have a couple of young players (Mikel and Kalou). Crucial players are getting old. Makelele, superb against Gerrard in the Champions League, is 35. Ballack, Belletti, Shevchenko, Carvalho and Drogba are all past 30. There are ten players between 29 and 35. And then, crucially, there is the Mourinho factor. Sooner or later the Special One is going to turn up at a top Italian or Spanish club with a big chequebook and Drogba, and Carvalho at least, perhaps Lampard and Terry as well, will find it hard to resist his siren call. These are big players, Chelsea’s heart. Even if they’re possible to replace, it will cost more than £70 million. And then there’s the Grant question, still unresolved. he has done superbly well. Chelsea have made it to a Champions League final and were within a whisker of winning back the League title. But Abramovich still dreams of glory. He doesn’t just want to win, he wants to win gloriously. Grant, like Mourinho, is not a glory manager. He’s done well with the team he inherited from Ranieri and Mourinho. But can he rebuild a team?
This is what separates the great managers from the also-rans. Ferguson has done it again and again. So has Wenger. Think of Wenger’s team which did the Double in 1998: Seaman in goal, Dixon, Winterburn, Adams and Keown at the back, Petit and Vieria in midfield, Overmars and Bergkamp. By the team he did the Double again in 2002, Overmars and Petit had gone. In had come Ashley Cole, Henry and Kanu, Lauren, Pires and Wiltord and then Sol Campbell to replace Adams. Few of these played in the team that got to the Champions League Final in 2006. That famous defence had retired, Vieira, Kanu and Wiltord had gone. In had come Fabregas and Clichy, Flamini, van Persie and Hleb.
This permanent revolution costs money, but above all it takes guts. To dismantle a great team is painful. Think of Ferguson losing Cantona and then Keane, Schemichel, Pallister and Bruce, or the controversial decision to let go Ince, Hughes and Kanchelskis. They thought he was crazy to let Van Nistelroy go to Real Madrid, just as some thought Wenger would never manage without Henry, once he left for Barcelona. can Grant do it? Can he build a new team without the old and familiar heartbeat of Chelsea?
Is this Arsenal’s moment, again, after three seasons without silverware. Wenger’s new team isn’t old like Chelsea. It is young, full of potential. Fourteen players 26 or under. Even after Flamini and Lehmann, there are six players who have played more than 120 times for Arsenal. All of them, except for Gilberto, are at their peak. It could be Arsenal’s year.
And yet… He’s already lost Flamini. he may lose Hleb. if he loses Hleb, then will Fabregas stay? The centre of his team, that exhilarating midfield, could fall like dominoes. All three played more than 30 Premiership games this season. They were key players. It would be like 2006 all over again, when Wenger lost Bergkamp, Pires and Cole. Wenger’s been there before but he’s never had to go through this with a team before it had reached its potential. The team of 1998 did the Double, so did the modified team of 2002. The team of 2008 has not won anything. This raises an interesting question about Wenger. His great teams were a hybrid. European flair up front built on a rock-solid English defence which he had inherited. That famous defence went back to the ’80s (Dixon, Winterburn, Adams) and early ’90s (Seaman and Keown). They were all there before Wenger arrived. He has never built a defence like it and since Keown retired, Wenger has only won the FA Cup. Has Wenger got in him to build a great defence comparable to Arsenal’s then or Chelsea’s and United’s now? It doesn’t seem so. Without it, he is building on sand.
So, if Chelsea are getting old and Arsenal are still too young, what of United? Fergsuon too can hear the winged chariot of time. Neville, Giggs, Scholes and Van Der Sar are all in their mid-30s. None of them have more than one more season in them. But nine of his best players are 26 or under, another three are 27. While everyone has been looking at Wenger’s babes, no one has noticed how young Ferguson’s new generation are. Rooney is 22, Nani 21, Anderson 20. Ronaldo is 23, Tevez 24. Carrick, Fletcher and O’Shea are still in their mid-20s. Evra and Vidic too. Fergsuon has 17 players younger than Gallas, Carvalho or Drogba. There are still gaps to fill, but not as many as one might think. Anderson, Nani, Hargreaves and Tevez have bedded down incredibly quickly, in one season during which United have won the League and reached the Champions League final. Not bad for a transitional season. No wonder Ferguson thinks this might be his best team yet. Hard to beat at the back (even without Neville for an entire season); solid in midfield; thrilling up front. Wenger had one player who scared more than seven goals in the Premiership. Ronaldo, Tevez and Rooney scored almost 60 between them. Even the much vilified Saha scored five goals in the Premiership alone.
All will go shopping in the summer. Chelsea desperately. Arsenal perhaps desperately. Ferguson selectively. He will replace Saha and look for a crucial 4th striker. He needs at least one more top full-back and perhaps cover for Ferdinand and Vidic (who missed only nine matches between them—can he be so lucky again?). And perhaps a new goalkeeper to go with Ben Foster. Then the $64,000 question. Think of Scholes’ goal against Barcelona or Giggs’ at Wigan. Will the current midfield manage without them?
It looks like next year might be United’s. But then this year’s should have been Chelsea’s.
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